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For the long term investor, the history is good
08 Jul, 2008

By John Miles, Marketing Development Manager, Generation Developments.

Having heard all the media hype over the last few weeks I thought I would check the facts of what is really happening.  The table below shows reality – not media hype.  The facts are:

  • The last slump was around in February 1998.  The number of homes sold in that month was  5432.  In Feb 2008 there were 6356 homes sold.
  • The year after the slump the median price rose by 4.55%.  The following three years the median price remained relatively static as did the number of sales.
  • 10 years on from 1998 to 2008, the median price has increased by 108% - from $162,000 to $337,500
  • If buyers are in for the longer term, the history suggests now is a great time to buy as the median price has dropped from a high in Nov 2007 of $352,000 to $337,500 – a 4.1% drop.

 

  Median Price Number of sales % Growth in median price
Feb-92 $109,000 5272  
Feb-03 $114,500 5338 5.05%
Feb-94 $124,000 8064 8.30%
Feb-95 $135,000 6304 8.87%
Feb-96 $154,000 9941 14.07%
Feb-97 $161,000 7998 4.55%
Feb-98 $162,000 5432 0.62%
Feb-99 $170,000 6992 4.94%
Feb-00 $171,000 6363 0.59%
Feb-01 $173,000 6255 1.17%
Feb-02 $186,000 8677 7.51%
Feb-03 $195,000 9643 4.84%
Feb-04 $231,000 9859 18.46%
Feb-05 $270,000 10,145 16.88%
Feb-06 $295,000 7930 9.26%
Feb-07 $335,000 9357 13.56%
Feb-08 $337,500 6356 0.75%
       
 Median Growth in last ten years - 1998-2008   108.33%  

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